CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
TM
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/
10-K
C
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
1Y
.
.
.
MKT
.
.
.
Fair Value
$13.11
1Y Target
$13.66
MKT. PRICE
$205.02
Model Blend
MODERATE agreement · 29% spread
Comps$19.99 · 28%
DCF$12.56 · 27%
Residual Income$8.84 · 25%
ROIC Fade$9.38 · 17%
EV/Rev$11.24 · 2%
Trailing Rev Growth
3.8%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
7.4%
Market Cap
$2675B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
10:04 PM EDT
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TM Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/ (TM) has an estimated fair value of $13.11 per share, compared to its current market price of $205.02. The stock is currently trading 93.6% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 29% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $11.98.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $13.66, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/ is classified under the Auto / Equipment OEM sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:04 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/ (TM) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/ (TM) at $13.11 per share, compared to the current market price of $205.02. This represents a 93.6% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/'s 10-K filing, classified in the Auto / Equipment OEM sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 29% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.