Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/ (TM) has an estimated fair value of $13.11 per share, compared to its current market price of $205.02. The stock is currently trading 93.6% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 29% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $11.98.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $13.66, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/ is classified under the Auto / Equipment OEM sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:04 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology