Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has an estimated fair value of $46.47 per share, compared to its current market price of $396.73. The stock is currently trading 88.3% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 36% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $39.34.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $53.01, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Tesla, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-01-29 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.