Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Trane Technologies plc (TT) has an estimated fair value of $216.20 per share, compared to its current market price of $410.36. The stock is currently trading 47.3% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 4 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income, ROIC Fade, and 1 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 4 models show low agreement with a 47% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 7.7% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $183.04.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $235.85, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Trane Technologies plc is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-05 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:05 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology