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UAUnder Armour, Inc.
Consumer / Retail10-K · Filed 2025-05-22
Clarity Fair Value
$9.64
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+50.4%)
Market Price
$6.41
50.4% Upside
$6$9$12$15$19202620282030203220342036Market $6
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendHIGH agreement · 5% spread

DCF$16.87 · 55%
EV/Rev$18.57 · 45%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$8.68
Market Cap
$3B

UA Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Under Armour, Inc. (UA) has an estimated fair value of $9.64 per share, compared to its current market price of $6.41. The stock is currently trading 50.4% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), EV/Revenue. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 5% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 98.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $9.49.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $8.68, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Under Armour, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-05-22 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Under Armour, Inc. (UA) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Under Armour, Inc. (UA) at $9.64 per share, compared to the current market price of $6.41. This represents a 50.4% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Under Armour, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2025-05-22 filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 5% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.