Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) has an estimated fair value of $78.56 per share, compared to its current market price of $89.95. The stock is currently trading 12.7% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Residual Income, ROIC Fade, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 38% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 29.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $66.51.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $82.03, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is classified under the Airline sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-12 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.