CVE Valuation Report | Mar 22, 2026
UNM
Unum Group
10-K · Filed 2026-02-17
C
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
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1Y
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MKT
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Fair Value
$47.99
1Y Target
$49.31
MKT. PRICE
$72.52
Model Blend
MODERATE agreement · 27% spread
Comps$57.54 · 35%
DCF$28.26 · 32%
Residual Income$57.24 · 32%
Trailing Rev Growth
1.5%
Model Implied Rev CAGR
-0.4%
Market Cap
$12B
ClarVal Report
Mar 22, 2026
10:08 PM EDT
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UNM Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Unum Group (UNM) has an estimated fair value of $47.99 per share, compared to its current market price of $72.52. The stock is currently trading 33.8% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 3 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Residual Income. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show moderate agreement with a 27% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 9.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $44.46.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $49.31, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Unum Group is classified under the Life Insurance sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

Not financial advice. For educational and research purposes only.
Updated Mar 22, 2026, 10:08 PM EDT · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Unum Group (UNM) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Unum Group (UNM) at $47.99 per share, compared to the current market price of $72.52. This represents a 33.8% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Unum Group's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-17 filing, classified in the Life Insurance sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 27% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.