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WMTWalmart Inc.
Consumer / Retail10-K · Filed 2025-03-14
Clarity Fair Value
$63.28
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-48.9%)
Market Price
$123.80
48.9% Downside
$57$77$97$116$136202620282030203220342036Market $124
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendLOW agreement · 41% spread

DCF$69.09 · 32%
Comps$87.97 · 26%
Residual Income$30.46 · 17%
ROIC Fade$21.40 · 10%
DDM$24.79 · 9%
EV/Rev$132.61 · 7%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
1Y Price Target
$67.00
Market Cap
$987B

WMT Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Walmart Inc. (WMT) has an estimated fair value of $63.28 per share, compared to its current market price of $123.80. The stock is currently trading 48.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show low agreement with a 41% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 6.6% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $53.57.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $67.00, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Walmart Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-03-14 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 4:18 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Walmart Inc. (WMT) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Walmart Inc. (WMT) at $63.28 per share, compared to the current market price of $123.80. This represents a 48.9% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Walmart Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2025-03-14 filing, classified in the Consumer / Retail sector with high confidence. Model agreement is LOW with a 41% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.